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Short-term outlook for EU agricultural markets in 2020

22/07/2020 - Press release , François-Xavier Branthôme - 2020 Season
Summer 2020 Edition

This short-term outlook edition is based on market intelligence available until mid-June 2020 and reflects the Covid-19 impact to the extent possible, with all the usual caveats and limitations due the rapidly evolving situation.
Market forecasts are presented for EU-27 and assume a frictionless trade between the EU and the UK in 2020 and 2021.

As noted in the spring edition of this short-term outlook, the EU tomato production is expected to remain stable in 2020, with production increasing for processing and decreasing for fresh consumption. On balance, the EU consumption of fresh tomatoes is expected to slightly decline in 2020. Regarding fresh tomatoes trade, imports are expected to continue to increase in 2020 by 3% and exports to decline by 5%.

EU total production of fresh tomato is expected to decrease by 2% in 2020 driven by a decline of production in Spain (-7%), the largest producing country. Spanish tomato producers switch to the production of more profitable greenhouse vegetables.
The EU production of tomatoes for processing, following a long-term cyclical trend, is expected to increase by 1% in 2020. This should result in an overall stable EU tomato production in 2020.
EU fresh tomato production, including processing tomato

Some complementary data
Production of processing tomato in EU countries, according to WPTC (as of July 3, 2020).





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