WPTC crop update as of 23 August 2024
26/08/2024
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Sophie Colvine
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2024 Season
The harvest is now in full swing in most of the production regions in the northern hemisphere and in Brazil
AMITOM COUNTRIES
BULGARIA
The season is progressing well with about 25% of the harvest done with yields of about 60 t/ha and a brix of 5.1. The high temperatures of the last two weeks are causing some sunburn and red mites but there is no blossom end rot thanks to use growth regulators with calcium. Harvest should finish on 5 to 10 October with a total volume of 60,000 tonnes.
EGYPT
Nothing changed so far since the last update two weeks ago, monitoring closely the current harvesting progress & processing, crop development and climate conditions as well. We will see what the situation in the next weeks will be.
FRANCE
To date just over 40,000 tonnes, 22% of the total forecast, have been processed in the South-East with the harvest just starting in the South-West. After heatwave, temperatures are now 28-30°C with wind in the South-East. The peak of the harvest will arrive next week with mid/late season tomatoes joining the early crop. Quality is good and yields are ok, with some spider mites. Brix to date averages 5.1 and penalties 5.6%
GREECE
The season is early with about 58% of the forecast processed already. Quality is normal with a brix of 5.1 and 5% of penalties. Some rain yesterday in the Centre and the South-West are slowing the harvest today, but the weather is generally good now.
HUNGARY
The harvested area is over a third of the total one. The average Brix is over 5. The weather is still hot and dry with short local precipitations. This July was the hottest and the 7th dryest one since 1901. The total annual forecast remains unchanged.
IRAN
The harvest is still on in the South and has now started in the West, while it is delayed in the North where it will only start at the end of the month and mainly in September. Temperatures are still very high at around 40°C. There is about 20 to 25% less tomatoes this year and their price is very high, which processors fight as they have to compete with cheaper Chinese production on their markets. The forecast remains 1.5 to 1.6 million tonnes.
ITALY
In the North, as per the last data from the IO as of 11 August 675,000 tonnes had been processed with an average brix of 5.18 et 4.7% penalties. Last week an estimated 300,000 to 350,000 tonnes were harvested bringing the total as of 18 August to about one million tonnes, which is about 20% lower than the average of the last five years, due to the accumulated delay due to the weather and lower yields on the early crop. The bulk of the harvest (c. 60%) will take place in September. Some rains on 18 to 20 August have stopped or slowed the harvest this week. The total volume will depend on the late harvest.
In the South, as of 11 August, 1.1 million tonnes had been processed, more than in 2023 but about the 2022 level. The brix is lower than normal. The harvest is slowed this week due to rains more on Tirrenian side (Toscana, Lazio and Campania), less on Adriaditic side (Puglia). The Occhito dam is now closed bringing concern for the late crop.
The forecast remains 5.5 million tonnes, but results will depend on the weather in September.
PORTUGAL
It is now the third week of the season, and all factories are running ok with about 21% of the crop harvested to date. At the end of last week, there were three days of heatwave at 37-40°C but temperatures are now back down to 28-29°C. It is a very windy summer, but this is good as helps fight diseases and reduces temperatures at night. There is no change in the forecast.
SPAIN
All the plants are now running including in the North where they started around 10 to 15 August. To date only about 27% of the total forecast has been processed, which is lower than normal. Temperatures remain high in Andalusia and Extremadura, changing the normal course of the tomato cultivation but quality seems generally good. There will be strong pressure on plants from mid-September but there is no change in the forecast.
TUNISIA
Only 6 factories are still in operation, processing 4,000 tonnes a day. To date, 873,000 tonnes of tomatoes have been processed, broken down by region as follows:
- 43% in Cap Bon
- 14% in Greater Tunis
- 31% Béja and Kef (north-west)
- 13% Kairouan (South)
TURKEY
The Bursa region is now at its peak, but large volumes will be processed in September. The South is still strong with tomatoes still in the fields. Quality is generally good, but brix is lower than usual at 4.6-4.7. No change to the forecast. About 40% of the total volume expected as already been processed.
OTHER WPTC COUNTRIES
BRAZIL
The Brazilian crop is running as scheduled, with no changes ahead until now. There is tendency for higher than expected fruit brix level, but this will be confirmed in the next few weeks.
CALIFORNIA
The estimate is to process 1,054,880 short tons (956,971 metric tonnes) this week. At the end of this week (week ending August 24), we will have processed 5,671,546 short tons (5,144,645 metric tonnes. Harvest continues to go well throughout the state as we are basically at overall processing capacity. At this time, yields continue to perform close to contracted levels overall. As we discussed in our previous reports, California experienced abnormally high temperatures in June and July. Based on observations in the later fields, we anticipate yields to be lower than what we have experienced so far this season, mainly due to the prior heat. The NASS/USDA will release a new crop estimate towards the end of the August. Solids and quality of the crop continue to do well this season.
CANADA
Harvest began last week and is approximately 7% complete. The weather this week has been cooler, with warmer temperatures expected to return by the weekend. The crop to date looks OK, and it's hopeful that contract tonnage will be achieved despite this year's weather challenges and the increased disease pressure in some regions.
CHINA
The forecast is maintained at 11 million tonnes.
JAPAN
Heavy rains in late July and a typhoon in early August may result in reduced harvests in parts of the Tohoku region. The total volume of tomatoes to be processed is the same from the last report at 29,000 tonnes.
Source: WPTC
WPTC World Production estimate as of 23 August 2024
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